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CHILD OF THE LINE

Catapulted into a summer night

I run out the door, into darkness

thoughts of youth pervade the mind

reminding me of the long line called my life.

The games once played

are mostly forgotten

the people who chased me

are all gone.

But the child is still there

The child of the line is smiling

Freepik image


Winter Whispers

Pointed, brilliant drifts of snow

pierce the evening of winter.

Curving upward they arch

to a luminous, cyclopean moon.

A guest, humble, I stand here

beneath flickers in northern skies.

Icy grains atop snow drifts, 

move obediently for winter gusts.

One drift releases grains to its neighbor.

Tumbling crystals, indifferent, brush sodden drifts.

A rabbit stops to listen.

Paul Krapf image adapted



OLD MAN AND THE GRACKELS

He walks slowly to
a familiar place.
One hand on the park bench
he lowers himself to rest.

He cups a flame, 
cigar smoke rises 
to his hat brim,
curls upward and over.

A frenzied bevy of grackels,
scurries over scraps with
scampering feet, rapidly
changing directions.

Their troubles, easily witnessed and
his own long conquered,
contented, he rises.

Image by prostooleh on Freepik



Quote of the month - illegal immigration and "due process"

I apologize for the poor granularity of this picture snipped from an Atlas Society post on LinkedIn (my fault not theirs), but I believe Stephen Miller's quote should be shared!  Mr. Miller writes,

"The right of "due process" is to protect citizens from their government, not to protect foreign trespassers from removal. Due process guarantees the rights of a criminal defendant facing prosecution, not an illiegal alien facing deportation."

The Atlas Society post on LinkedIn


Timeless advice sadly ignored

In Oliver Stone's 1995 biopic film about President Richard Nixon, there's a memorable passage attributed to H. R. Haldeman.  Haldeman is lamenting the fact that Nixon's key advisors including himself, failed to give Nixon pivotal advice about the Watergate scandal before it consumed Nixon's presidency.  The Haldeman character portrayed by actor James Woods says,

"Eight words back in '72.  'I covered up. I was wrong. I'm sorry'. The American public would have forgiven him." 

Flash forward to our present day controversy about Trump senior team members' use of the encrypted messaging app Signal -- an issue the Left has cheerily dubbed "Signalgate"-- and some historical parallels emerge.  Let's dismiss one immediately though, this embarrassing episode will not engulf the Trump administration, although NSA chief Mike Waltz may take a fall.  To his credit, Mr. Waltz recently took the Haldemanesque approach with a straightforward admission on Laura Ingraham's show when he stated, "I take full responsibility. I built the group," "It's embarrassing. We're going to get to the bottom of it."  Smart.  If only the whole administration had followed suit.

I don't know what sort of reputation The Atlantic Editor in Chief Jeffrey Goldberg enjoys in media circles, but the Trump team has little to gain by trashing him now.  The Atlantic juts wildly to the Left and slanted reporting is their norm, but they didn't create this mess.  As we now know, Goldberg was mystifyingly added to the chat group by Mike Waltz or Mr. Waltz's proxy.  Blaming the technology, or Goldberg for Goldberg's errant invitation to a sensitive high level government session doesn't hold water.  All of this inspires a personal recollection...

Years ago, a colleague and I attended a competitors' financial conference in Chicago.  From a business development perspective, it was a target-rich affair with several prospective clients in tow.  After soliciting one of the organizer's clients, my colleague and I were thoroughly berated at breaktime by a competing executive because he learned that I had had the temerity to approach his client at "their" event.  The executive wanted us to leave immediately.  (We did not).  I protested by pointing out that his own marketing team had invited us.  We'd been mistakenly invited; but we hadn't crashed the party.  Moreover, being direct competitors; the enraged sponsor shouldn't have reasonably expected us to confine conversations with attendees to benign issues like the weather.

image by freepik
What stands out about the recent Signal chat circus, is that the administration's protestations can do more damage than the original mishap itself and fuel more unwanted media attention.  There didn't have to be enduring fallout from "the chat" other than embarrassment.  No significant secrets were compromised, no duplicity was revealed and the military action at the core of the issue -- was by all accounts -- effective.  So, own up to the error and don't extend the drama the way Defense Secretary Hegseth chose to do so recently.  

Let's instead get on to the business of the American people: apprehending and deporting illegal migrants and stopping waste, fraud and abuse of taxpayer funds and doing clawbacks.  Those are winning endeavors that enjoy broad support and require no public excuses.

A golf lesson for life itself

This morning, I attended a seminar about the "Psychology of Golf".  The topic intrigued me because all of my personal golf instruction -- and that which I've observed for other golfers -- focuses upon the physical aspects of the game.  The swing, the grip, addressing the ball, the stance, club selection, etc.

Image by drobotdean on Freepik
At one point during this session on golf psychology, the speaker drew on his chalkboard a less than or equal sign and the words "three feet". 

Then he stated that professional golfers on average, will sink a putt 96% of the time when the hole is three feet or less away from their ball.

Not sure where he was going with this factoid, I wrote down the figures from the chalkboard anyway.  Then he explained what happens after the 4% of the time when they miss those short putts.  Again, he was talking about the pros, not average golfers.

He went on to say that on the very next hole, about 80% of the time, their tee shot will actually miss the fairway.  Why?  

Instead of letting the missed putt go from their consciousness, they'll often mentally 'carry' that negative experience from the previous hole -- to their drive on the next hole.  His point was all about not letting the past, which is unchangeable, influence one's present frame of mind.  

Even the finest golfers in the world hit bad shots.  Past moments of failure shouldn't degrade our present experience.  Above all else, he wanted others to remember that the game should be enjoyed.  Life presents enough obstacles without our help.


PolitiFact: factual but selective.


After reading a recent PolitiFact article published in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel  (“Trump, Musk claim ‘fraud’, show no proof”, Feb. 16, 2025), I was reminded of the blurry line between news reporting and editorial work.  I've long been intrigued by an infrequently examined question: who checks the fact-checkers? 

A review of the so-called Truth-O-Meter ratings found at politifact.com/wisconsin reveals a disturbing pattern.  

I have no issues with the information that the PolitiFact contributors deemed ""factual."  My concerns are about selection bias as evidenced by the subjects chosen for scrutiny.  Consider the two most dubious labels that PolitiFact uses to rate questionable public assertions:  “False” and the all damning Pants on Fire.

Last year, PolitiFact Wisconsin (or editors using their work) awarded six 'fire pants' ratings to Republican office holders or Conservative commentators and zero such ratings to Democrat office holders or Progressive commentators.  

A tally of their false ratings was also lopsided.  Out of 27 recipients with a false rating, PolitiFact Wisconsin featured Republicans or Conservative commentators 19 times and Dems or Progressive commentators just 6 times.  (The remaining 2 recipients are relatively neutral parties).  Former Senate candidate Eric Hovde, for example, was singled out 6 times for alleged falsehoods, while his election opponent Sen. Tammy Baldwin, was not selected once. 

Editors leveraging PolitiFact Wisconsin chose articles that identify Conservatives for falsehoods, 25 out of 33 times (76%) that they published such ratings from 2024 public statements.  

Neither political party has a monopoly on the truth; but editors use PolitiFact Wisconsin to disproportionately target Conservatives.  At least for 2024, I rate that assertion True.





 

 








Online payment theft. It's complicated.

Last year, consumers and small businesses used the free peer to peer online payment platform called Zelle, to complete $806B worth of transactions.  In 2023, three billion Zelle payments equated to $100 million of transaction activity....per hour.  The Zelle platform owners are seven of our nation's largest banks.  Those banks and over 2000 smaller banks and credit unions -- make Zelle available to customers for simple, instant, fund transfers.  Unfortunately, there are countless bad actors preying on unsuspecting payers.  

freepik image

In recent years, consumer watchdog groups, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) and politicians like Elizabeth Warren, Sherrod Brown and Maxine Waters have targeted Zelle's operator, Early Warning Services, LLC (EWS) and large bank owners of the platform, for consumer losses due to fraud.  

On December 20th, the CFPB announced it was suing EWS and the three largest banks that own Zelle for insufficient fraud detection, prevention and victim support.  Their press release alleges that the defendant banks have been "...allowing repeat offenders to hop between banks."  

Banks and credit unions, law enforcement, the press, our judicial system, industry trade groups, technology backbone companies and state and federal agencies dedicated to apprehending and prosecuting financial criminals are all powerful stakeholders with a role to play.  No single party is responsible for "allowing" criminal activity to go unchecked.  

Moreover, millions of individuals attracted to the convenience of online payment technology could dent victimization levels by using extra caution before sending money to an unknown counterparty.  Unfortunately, much of this thinking gets lost within the 'Big Bad Banks' hype.

Scale of the Problem?  Which problem?

The CFPB claims that the cumulative amount of Zelle-related fraud losses by consumers since 2017 is $870 million.  EWS disputes that figure and notes that some claims turn out to be legitimate payments and other anomalous cases (like claims made by actual fraudsters trying to exploit the system) inflate the CFPB statistic.  

Accurate or not, if the CFPB's cumulative figure of $870 million in losses is averaged over a seven year period and then rounded up, $125 million becomes the mean average of Zelle-related fraud losses, per year.  

That's a lot of money, but the amount of peer to peer payment theft from Zelle transactions is small in comparison to other forms of financial crime in the US.  Consider pandemic-relief which now cumulatively has surpassed over $200B in fraudulent payments, or money laundering which the Treasury Department estimates at over $300B per year.  Insurance fraud also amounts to over $300B per year.  

What about the actual frequency of transaction problems experienced by Zelle users?  Zelle maintains that less than one tenth of one percent of payments are reported as scams -- over 99.9% are not.  

Platforms like Venmo, Chime and Zelle are used to transfer funds after one makes a disbursement electronically and irretrievably to someone they've trusted ipso facto.  Whom should pay damages when fraud occurs, isn't always clear.  

Singled Out For Negligence

Articles like this one by CNN foist more attention on banks than criminals with pointed reminders like this one: "The big banks that run Zelle in particular “rarely” reimburse customers duped by scammers...".  

If I physically mail a donation check to a fake charity and discover I've been scammed; should I expect reimbursement from my bank and the US postal service that transported my payment?  There's a disproportionate amount of political and media attention on the big banks regarding online payment fraud because:  

1. Large financial institutions are easy to blame and doing so won't cost Pols many votes.  Hauling large bank CEOs before a congressional committee makes great television.  Zealous bank scapegoating also happened after the Great Recession, as I wrote in this space 14 years ago.  The more prevalent crime categories mentioned above, are only obscure and ugly reminders of the times we live in -- until we're robbed as individuals -- like a victim of payment fraud.  That's when we get loud, call law enforcement, file complaints, alert reporters, contact our Congressman and so on.  

2. While financial crimes like insurance fraud, fraudulent relief payments and the like are much larger in scale and impact law-abiding society as a whole, the victimized group of those crimes is one huge, diffuse body called the American public.  Americans as a whole typically don't demand reform in Washington until they're catalyzed by seismic developments like 9/11, the Great Recession, a 100 year pandemic, or a tidal wave of illegal migration.  There is no such macro event affecting a critical mass to mobilize voters about online payment fraud. Yet, high profile lawsuits and Capitol Hill hearings keep the media buzzing about the issue anyway. 

Consumer Education

Sometimes lawmakers and regulators don't make distinctions between victims of sophisticated criminal schemes or weak controls at legitimate entities, versus cases of unfortunate or even reckless consumer choices.  There's clearly a need for more consumer education, so individuals can protect themselves with added knowledge.  

The American Bankers Association has an educational toolset to help customers recognize scams and fraud risks called, "Banks Never Ask That".  Enhanced public education efforts like that one won't completely eradicate the problem, but they reduce the amount of opportunity fraudsters currently enjoy when consumers heed best practices.  Perhaps the CFPB, for its part, could also devote more resources to its public education programs.  

Summary

Theft harms innocent people whether a victim succumbs to a scam over the phone, in person, or from a bogus website.  Who should pay for enterprise-wide "remedies" and individual damages, isn't always clear.  Unfortunately, political grandstanding often displaces thoughtful policy debates about constructive measures to combat complicated problems like online payment fraud.  

Of course, banks and credit unions that have fallen short on customer support after a payer suffered an online payment loss due to fraud, should be held to account.  However, lousy service is not tantamount to fraud complicity.  In cases after customer-facing bank employees behave indifferently (or worse) to fraud victims -- those employees and/or their supervisors ought to be disciplined or fired, but even those actions won't reveal systemic vulnerabilities, or mitigate future frauds.

Stronger multi party action on the root problem will help Americans suffer fewer losses from online payment fraud.  Multi party action means common goals collectively pursued by all powerful stakeholders involved to: a) lock up more cyber criminals with application of stiffer sentences b) increase consumer fraud awareness throughout the financial ecosystem and c) stop the circular firing squad in public and turn their sights on the bad guys.  Nobody said any of this will be easy. 






Soft landing or hard landing, it's an achievable mark

This week at a financial conference, I listened to featured speaker, Austan Goolsbee, who is President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, a noted Economist and frequent contributor to the financial press.  He's also likeable. 

Official Portrait
One day I'll post on entertaining economists because there are several on both sides of the aisle and Dr. Goolsbee, an Obama cabinet appointee and acolyte, will definately be part of that post.

An amusing story Mr. Goolsbee told about a pleasant sense of wonder he experienced while attending a meeting in the Oval Office with President Obama and Larry Summers (the pleasant part ended abruptly) made the audience roar.  

Afterward, during the Q and A period, I anxiously awaited my turn with the microphone.  When prompted, I found the "on" switch with only minor assistance.  My question to Mr. Goolsbee, which I'll paraphrase, was...

We hear much debate from economists and financial journalists about the likelihood of a so-called soft landing.  Some say the pace of rate hikes was too slow, others say the risk will come from cutting rates too slowly.  Whether the outcome will be soft or hard, what exactly constitutes "a landing".  In other words, how will we know who was correct? 

I watched Dr. Goolsbee as I asked my question and witnessed his nodding head.  Then he gave a relatively lengthy answer.  His central points were:

  • yes, nailing down the definition of a landing is a fuzzy area but...
  • given where we've been, if you consider the Fed's dual mandate and see employment levels at desired level X and you also see inflation levels at desired level Y, then you've pretty much landed softly.
Again, I'm paraphrasing his response, but those were my key takeaways.  I guess there's no final buzzer to signal the end of the game; so if one waits long enough for conditions to change, most any economic seer can claim to be at least partially vindicated.


Have we all forgotten Reagan's 11th Commandment?

Official portrait, 1981

Having grown weary of internecine clashes within the Republican Party, I recently had an exchange with a local GOP leader.  Here's what I wrote....

"Thanks for your response.  You mention I should share my thoughts with the State GOP.  Fair point. Reagan’s “Eleventh Commandment” applies to all Republicans. 

I’m approaching retirement which will free up my time to learn, but right now, I won’t pretend to be steeped in state politics.  I know Vos is controversial to say the least and I have much to learn about the influences of the lobbies in your message.  I have no reason to doubt the veracity of your claims about who’s ruling the roost and those special interests concern me. 

Now, for added context on where I’m coming from, bear with me…. 

I’m a lifelong Wisconsinite who’s voted Republican at state and federal levels for 42 years.  That’s right.  I’ve not cast a single vote for a Democrat and never regretted it -- but these days -- my party is at war with itself and we’re fighting Dems with one arm tied behind our backs.  Two Republicans at odds with each other often forget they both have more in common with each other, than either person will ever have with Democrats. 

I’m a pragmatist because without victory in key elections, we improve little.  You write about good quality candidates vs. establishment types.  I’m not sure what constitutes an establishment candidate, but I’ve seen GOP candidates, who say the right things, but prove to be ineffective campaigners:  Tim Michels for Governor (Rebecca Kleefisch would’ve been better), Tommy Thompson (as much as I admire all that he did in his prime as Governor, his effort for a US Senate seat against Baldwin was miserable), Sarah Palin (she almost single-handedly sunk McCain) etc.  Were these candidates establishment, or non-establishment types?  I’m not sure the label matters.  They all lost. 

Either way, we need to allow room for debate within the GOP without destroying each other.  For example, I’ve long admired Paul Ryan for his fiscal sanity and unflappable temperament in the DC cesspool, but I totally disagree with him about his choice to not vote for Trump.  It’s a binary choice in November.  If one does NOT vote for Trump, one is by definition helping Harris. 

On the other hand, Trump’s ridiculous remarks about Ryan being the worst Speaker of the House in American history and all the compost Trump hurls at other decent Republicans needs to be countered and freely debated within the party.  If it isn’t, then Ryan becomes correct about Trump being a Non-Conservative Populist requiring total fealty from the rest of us. 

There’s a common theme here--I see few conservative voices on college campuses, little balance in the mainstream media, and little to no tolerance for disagreement within Republican caucuses whenever Trump comes up.  Conservatives must get together, allow reasoned debate among us and run GOP candidates who can win in Madison and up ballot.

 Respectfully,

John J. Maddente"

They say life is a journey



T
hey say life is a journey not a destination, but today I want a destination.  Written while in a somewhat foul mood, what follows are 25 randomly itemized things I don't care for (Mother taught me that it's better to put it that way instead of saying, "I hate" such and such).  

Some of these items are mere dislikes, others indeed involve deep loathing.  You decide which is which. 😇 (freepik image at right)...

THINGS I DON'T CARE FOR:

1. Merging traffic.

2. Political messages at non-political events I pay to attend and political messages at non-political events that I don't pay to attend.

3.  Any sort of fruit placed on a pizza.  (Yes, technically tomato is a fruit but let's forget that).

4.  Most reality TV shows.

5.  Shiny, spherical orbs placed on pedestals to adorn a front yard (also fake deer).

6.  People who prey on the weak or disadvantaged.

7.  People who covet criminals' rights over victims' rights.    

8.  Several MSNBC commentators.

9.  The short-lived customer satisfaction that comes from driveway asphalt sealing.

10. Small plates dining.

11.  Diet Coke.

12.  Insects and cats.

13.  Aggressive, unleashed dogs.

14.  Our border controls (or lack thereof).

15.  More than 3 consecutive days without sunshine.

16.  Lawn and garden weeds.

17.  Loud bars or restaurants where one can't hear a companion's voice.

18.   Democrats' party leadership.

19.  Potholes.

20.  School bullies, car jackers, muggers, rapists and the lot.

21.  Indifferent customer service representatives.

22.  Marshmallows.

23.  Dirty public restrooms.

24.  Drivers who don't use their directionals.

25.  Bunker shots.

        

Baseball is (already) for everyone

Image by Racool_studio on Freepik

To attend a major league baseball game, is to participate in a thoroughly American experience.  It's a classic sport with something to delight everyone.  As spectators, we usually can forget about life's problems for a few innings.  Or, at least we could.

Now, the MLB, its franchise owners, the players union, or some combination thereof, have joined the ranks of those in the NFL who thought it was a great idea to radiate political messages in giant letters in the endzone.  (And even allow messaging on the back of player helmets).

I hadn't noticed anything similar in professional baseball until recently.  Just beyond the center field wall at Target Field in Minneapolis, one can see, one actually must see, a large sign blaring two words: "END RACISM". 

Who are proponents of the Target Field signage going to influence?  Put another way, who besides actual racists, would advocate for preserving racism?  This practice of adorning stadiums with political messages could beckon all comers for equal expression.  One day will we see a large "END WOKEISM" or "BACK THE BADGE" sign in the right field bleachers?  I hope not, because overt political posturing -- whether Conservative or Progressive in nature -- does not belong at sporting events.

All forms of injustice, including racism, are abhorrent.  We all salute those who fight injustice, but every citizen has a right to pay for and receive the pleasurable escapism of attendance at a sporting event (or a "Hamilton" performance) without intrusive political messaging.  

Now, other recent changes to the game of baseball have been welcome and they involve no political expression whatever, so let's go there....  

Many games were simply too long, but by adding the pitch clock, limiting trips to the mound for pitcher chats and implementing other measures for extra inning play, the MLB has effectively shortened average game time, while preserving the experience for fans.  Many unnecessary delays involve the pitcher in some way, shape, or form.  

Relief pitchers warm up in the bullpen, so why not reduce the amount of time they can burn after taking the mound before they face their first batter?  

If the manager is going to call for that relief pitcher, why can't he just signal that from the dugout.  His walk to the mound followed by on field discussion with the manager, catcher and a friendly pat on the back of the outgoing pitcher--is followed by more mound chat.  Just zip Joe Reliever in a golf cart directly to the mound and play ball! 

Finally, a personal wish.  Let's keep home plate umpires, but use technology to perfectly call balls and strikes.  

Way too many strikes are called balls and vise versa.  Allowing technology to decide what an umpire calls a pitch, would avoid disputes over poor calls and limit fan and player aggravation over all of those truly God awful calls that follow so many pitches. 

Traditionalists may bristle, but the technology could be implemented without removing home plate umpires from the sport. Aside from the benefits of accurate officiating and stress reduction, the change would equate to another timesaver.

Baseball fans vigorously debate changes like these, but they do so in the context of what's good for this sport that's lasted over 180 years.  Such debates don't involve political ideology today.  I hope they never do. 


The Net Promoter Score (NPS) is superficial consumer research

Check out my latest  post on LinkedIn if you are interested in that common question designed to tell an organization something useful about customer satisfaction and loyalty.  

Aside from leading marketers to easy conclusions, singular use of the NPS question is often annoying to the consumer.  For many of us, it's simply not the question we want to answer, nor do we want our views confined to a Likert Scale for marketing purposes.  I suspect some NPS devotees don't want to deal with unstructured data.  Perhaps more marketing heads will require their surveymonkeys to leverage AI and mine that data that tells them so much more than a checkbox.

Image by upklyak on Freepik



Priceless clips from 5 of the funniest films ever made



 





Film titles appear below in alphabetical order...

(Image above by freepik)

Reviewing products and services online


Who doesn't read consumer reviews on the Internet?  I take them seriously when making purchase decisions and while drafting them after my own experiences.

Many of my reactions as a consumer come in oral rather than written form.  For example, a couple of months ago I left a voice message for a service manager about outstanding service I received from one of his auto technicians.  While traveling last month, I spoke directly with the chef of a restaurant to compliment his dish, after telling the manager about it.

In essence, the majority of my reactions as a consumer -- whether published online, or spoken, are positive.  This past week was abnormal in that I published two reviews of healthcare professionals: one an Orthodontist (positive) and the other an Optometrist (negative).  

The hyperlink to the Orthodontist will take you to the website associated with this business that dispenses superb care and service; in my view.  I issued a glowing, albeit brief, "5 star" , Google review for them.  

The hyperlink to the Optometrist, will take you to a one star review I wrote on Yelp, which reveals my poor experience.

Note to the gentleman in the Philippines emailing me about online safety and a shared desire to root out fake reviews: thanks for your messages, but I haven't been able to confirm your identity and your website is not yet functional.

(Image above by freepik)

   


A post about nothing

If Seinfeld became a hit TV program as a show about "nothing," then this post is a nod to that empty theme of everyday life.  Here are two items about nothing in particular... 

    By George Webb Corporation - http://www.georgewebb.com


    1. For three consecutive mornings, I've happily eaten breakfast at George Webb, a Wisconsin chain of some 30+ counter and booth style restaurants which first opened for business in 1948.  I've been enjoying them -- and particularly their cheese hash browns -- since the Seventies.  However, I'm ordering their free water as my beverage for the foreseeable future.  I recognize the ill effects of that silent thief we call inflation, but $3.30 for their small size glass of institutional orange juice?  Ridiculous.  

John Maddente photo

2. I'm guessing few of my seven readers are familiar with Luckbox magazine.  Its stated focus on "Life, Money, Probability" is geared toward Traders and other professional investors.  I do not belong to that group, but a copy of this magazine at an airport lounge with snappy graphics and offbeat topics, caused me to subscribe.  

The latest issue has an interesting article on the high stakes fight to preserve, or slowly kill, AM radio.  Spoiler alert:  The piece reminds readers that AM radio remains relevant to 82 million American listeners and also government officials that rely upon it as a medium for public emergency alerts.  What's more, AM radio defenders in Congress are remarkably bipartisan.  

Today I close with a friendly jab at the Luckbox editor of this article.  Dear Madam or Sir, Re: the copy under "Night Radio" --  I believe your columnist intended to cite the laws of physics not "psychics".   Your oversight reminded me of a M*A*S*H episode when Col. Potter exclaims, "We order rectal thermometers, we get spark plugs. Both useful articles, but hardly interchangeable."



Cum On Feel the Noize



S
lade was a 1970s British band that could wake up any audience.  As a teen, I was mesmerized by Noddy Holder's raspy voice, his onstage penguin steps with mirrored stove pipe hat and the sound of Slades' instruments.  One track called, "Cum On Feel the Noize" (yes, they had a penchant for deliberate misspellings with song titles like, "Look Wot You Dun") still warms my nostalgic heart.  I thought of that song today while listening to an NPR podcast about Trump's recent NATO comments.

There were two parts to Trump's NATO invective.  The first should be ignored as "noise" and the other should be heeded as a "signal".  First, the ridiculous assertion that he'd invite Putin to invade NATO countries that don't pay their bills should be ignored, but the second one about NATO members not paying their "bills" requires closer examination as a signal.

One problem with the American Left, is that they fail to understand why Trump was elected in 2016 and instead they focus on Trump's hyperbolic noise which, to be fair, is often preposterous or dangerous.  However, I believe that most Trump barbs and threats are designed to agitate others, fire up the base and keep him in the headlines.  

In this case, I heard a podcast commentator -- obsessed with Trump's use of the noun "bills" --  remind listeners that NATO "is not a country club" with its members getting billed.  That observation is noise.  Of course, no administrative entity issues annual dues invoices to 31 member nations, but members have agreed to fund a minimum of 2% of their GDP to pay for their own defense.  

In the last report by the NATO Secretary General  (the 2022 report was issued before Finland became a member in 2023) just 7 of the 30 NATO member nations met their minimum 2% of GDP military spend commitment.  That's the signal.  

Most NATO countries are not paying their share.  The rest is just noise.

(Image Above By freepik)


Biden family transactions revisited

"Moral clarity" is a phrase I heard recently and it comes to mind when sorting out these troubling times and who's done what for whom and why.  In the case of the $200,000 (or $240,000) sum(s) transferred between the Biden brothers, there is absolute clarity someplace.  We just don't know where it is yet.

The money transfers under scrutiny, either represent a legitimate extension and repayment of a loan, or they don't.  Much seems to hinge upon a trust account established by a Delaware law firm used to transact business on behalf of ___________ and that's the question....who?  

Rep. Comer and company seek to prove that the trust fund was used to launder money for the benefit of Hunter Biden, his Uncle and partners -- and ultimately to compensate the elder Joe Biden.  

The White House and their acolytes seek to prove that the trust account in question was controlled exclusively by Joe Biden and simply used as a conduit for the funds extended by Joe Biden to his brother, in the form of a personal, interest-free loan.

Neither side has definitively proven its case.  Only one side can be correct and that's the missing clarity.

Image by wirestock on Freepik


Biden family storm potential


If President Joe Biden didn't have enough to worry about with epic low approval ratings, a massive border crisis, rampant inflation, unclaimed cocaine deposits in the White House and a deeply polarized Congress, the corruption charges levied against NJ Senator Bob Menendez yesterday reminded me of the President's other smoldering problems...  

#1.   "10 held by H for the big guy?"  According to an article from the Washington Post Fact Checker, an email from one of Hunter's business associates proposes a profit allocation of 20% for each associate except for Hunter's Uncle Jim Biden, who would get 10% -- and a remaining 10% allocable to the "big guy" which would be held by Hunter.   

The email author has asserted that the big guy actually refers to Jim Biden, not Joe Biden.  However, one of the other business associates in receipt of the email, said that's false and that it actually referred to Hunter Biden's father.  Who's telling the truth?

The project was a flop and so there's no financial benefit (at least from this venture) that inured to the benefit of whomever the big guy is, but the whole Jim Biden--Big Guy explanation is odd.  If the email author and business partner was already proposing a 10% allocation for Jim Biden, why would he propose that his nephew hold another 10% for him?  Why escrow this 10% kicker with Hunter instead of just paying Jim Biden 20%?  And is there a history of these business partners calling Jim Biden the big guy?   

#2.  The second problem is an allegation that if proven, could become equally injurious to President Biden's administration.  The allegation is that the Justice Department may have deliberately impeded the investigation of Hunter Biden's tax problems.  That allegation is supported by two highly credible IRS sources.  If this can be proven, President Biden would presumably allege he knew nothing of it and sack Justice officials on the order of President Nixon's firing of Archibald Cox in 1973 to thwart impeachment.  Of course, if it is proven that Joe Biden did know of investigation obstruction; let alone approved of it, he's finished.  

I hasten to add, that's a big "if" and it's too early to credibly draw such a conclusion.  Yet, if problem #2 has legs, America could sadly witness corruption on par with the famous cover up of a third rate burglary.         

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(Image above by vecstock on Freepik)



A late summer rant and a rave



1. Let's start with a new movie called, "Dumb Money".  After watching the trailer for Dumb Money and seeing a couple of ads, the experience raised a question in my mind....is it OK to criticize a film one has never seen?  Logic dictates that the answer is no.  Call me illogical.

What turned me off initially was the commercial touting how the film"...gives a riotous middle finger to the capitalist swine on Wall Street."  How deliciously Populist.  The film creators have obviously positioned Dumb Money as a paean to the little guy fighting against the evil asset managers, punctuated with an F-bomb per minute, until the digitally-wired counter culture decks the big money guys holding a large short position.  

In this case, people will make a lot of money by trashing Capitalism and its adherents.  Quite a paradox.

2. Let's end with a positive take on American Express's new method to redeem cardmember reward points.  In the old days, if you wanted to cover a portion of your card charges with points; you had to go through this ritual of scrolling through transactions and applying points individually by transaction, in order to obtain the credit against your balance of charges.  Not anymore!  

One click and the entire value of your points is credited against your next bill.  No more trolling and scrolling through your transactions and applying points by transaction to obtain the credit.  Stupendous.  

 (Image above by macrovector on Freepik)





Is that what heaven looks like?

L ast week before leaving Thailand (more about that trip shortly), I learned my brief reader's comment about financial advisory services...